Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 1.548158 1.679524 1.818668 1.977339 2.153644 2.343960 2.565509
2026-01-11 1.364792 1.547195 1.751332 1.997935 2.289367 2.624778 3.042857
2026-01-18 1.241621 1.454336 1.702439 2.015683 2.404150 2.874732 3.495078
2026-01-25 1.143662 1.374799 1.653443 2.018099 2.488690 3.083841 3.907024
2026-02-01 1.046261 1.284173 1.578740 1.975720 2.505219 3.199594 4.200377
2026-02-08 0.971537 1.214292 1.521968 1.947535 2.532212 3.324601 4.510823
2026-02-15 0.913899 1.161114 1.481158 1.934503 2.574636 3.469342 4.857915
2026-02-22 0.883177 1.140387 1.480454 1.973793 2.689977 3.723077 5.387617
2026-03-01 0.838555 1.097551 1.446097 1.962081 2.729142 3.866303 5.759748
2026-03-08 0.793366 1.050936 1.403058 1.933866 2.740052 3.965353 6.068350
2026-03-15 0.742014 0.992777 1.340130 1.871785 2.694040 3.970632 6.219758
2026-03-22 0.715422 0.968049 1.323226 1.876373 2.749865 4.139796 6.664730
2026-03-29 0.693931 0.950019 1.315683 1.895620 2.831792 4.361094 7.232582
2026-04-05 0.674625 0.934095 1.310197 1.917387 2.919023 4.598543 7.858811
2026-04-12 0.655634 0.917521 1.302557 1.934772 2.999580 4.830708 8.503113
2026-04-19 0.634331 0.896321 1.286516 1.937191 3.054270 5.020949 9.088129
2026-04-26 0.604362 0.860555 1.246062 1.896941 3.031756 5.068171 9.387070
2026-05-03 0.579646 0.831720 1.214965 1.870155 3.030489 5.153645 9.774930
2026-05-10 0.559805 0.809554 1.193285 1.857766 3.053695 5.286723 10.281428
2026-05-17 0.551959 0.805734 1.200626 1.895118 3.169872 5.609991 11.255847
2026-05-24 0.534431 0.785814 1.180837 1.883985 3.194626 5.753107 11.834873
2026-05-31 0.514768 0.761702 1.153080 1.857161 3.187498 5.830125 12.266189
2026-06-07 0.489872 0.728277 1.108561 1.798122 3.114381 5.763689 12.336216